2024-03-09 20:52:24
After 10 years of war, Krasnohorivka in new danger as Russia advances in the east: https://benborges.xyz/2024/03/09/after-years-of.html
After 10 years of war, Krasnohorivka in new danger as Russia advances in the east: https://benborges.xyz/2024/03/09/after-years-of.html
Last Year’s Model of Ronald Acuña Jr. Is Nowhere in Sight
#MLB #Baseball #Fangraphs
After 200 years, women can join the Garrick. Now for the task of making it share power, not hoard it | Jemima Olchawski | The Guardian
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/article/2024/may/08/women-join-garrick-c…
Former Steelers star WR still drawing interest nearly six years since last game https://www.yardbarker.com/nfl/articles/former_steelers_star_wr_still_drawing_interest_nearly_six_years_since_last_ga…
Being a Backend Developer Today Feels Harder Than 20 Years Ago
https://dzone.com/articles/backend-development-feels-harder-today-than-20-years-ago
My >20yo kick drum pedal had a bolt shear off. I went around looking at reviews for what's the new hi-tech awesomeness, because surely after 20 years there's been some major changes, right?
Nope. DW 5000 is still on top (with 9000 being more adjustable in ways that I don't care about, but otherwise the same).
The "accidental anarchist" Carne Ross on Iraq: Hard truths about truth-telling #anarchism
#NowPlaying a fantastic trashy punk record from a couple years back. We had French metal earlier today, now it's French punk.
HOLESHOTS put out their self titled debut two years back and it's full of GREAT, scuzzy, catchy tunes.
Boeing confirms that LockBit attempted to extort a $200M ransom in October 2023; the company reportedly didn't pay any ransom after ~43GB of its data was posted (AJ Vicens/CyberScoop)
https://cyberscoop.com/boeing-confirms-attempted-2…
Not your #MomentOfZen
For those not local to me in North Carolina, we’re presently experiencing a remarkable event. The cycle of two separate cicada broods, one emerging every 17 years, the other every 12 years, has converged. It’s awesome in every sense of the word.
The largest-ever study of #bird #genomes has produced a remarkably clear picture of the bird family tree.
The study shows that most modern groups of birds first appeared within 5 million years after the extinction of the dinosaurs.
Previous studies showed the bird family tree has three major branches.
The…
Ordinal Behavior Classification of Student Online Course Interactions
Thomas Trask
https://arxiv.org/abs/2405.05142 https://arxiv.org…
250 years ago today, on 8 May 1774, there was a massing of planets (three plus the Moon with Venus further away) super-low and invisible in the morning sky which according to some - mostly secondary! - historical literature caused substantial worries in the Netherlands as an apocalyptic booklet about it was widely read. And it was believed until recently that the #Eisinga planetarium was a direct consequence of all this but this is probably not true: see https://www.facebook.com/dan.fischer.393/posts/pfbid0tDsLgDP9b6JVGPoSwKh2W46csqACaq9xhALbpZSHcGojwRB16ysnKu8ASB6xvxhGl for new context!
Maximally Forward-Looking Core Inflation
Philippe Goulet Coulombe, Karin Klieber, Christophe Barrette, Maximilian Goebel
https://arxiv.org/abs/2404.05209 https://arxiv.org/pdf/2404.05209
arXiv:2404.05209v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Timely monetary policy decision-making requires timely core inflation measures. We create a new core inflation series that is explicitly designed to succeed at that goal. Precisely, we introduce the Assemblage Regression, a generalized nonnegative ridge regression problem that optimizes the price index's subcomponent weights such that the aggregate is maximally predictive of future headline inflation. Ordering subcomponents according to their rank in each period switches the algorithm to be learning supervised trimmed inflation - or, put differently, the maximally forward-looking summary statistic of the realized price changes distribution. In an extensive out-of-sample forecasting experiment for the US and the euro area, we find substantial improvements for signaling medium-term inflation developments in both the pre- and post-Covid years. Those coming from the supervised trimmed version are particularly striking, and are attributable to a highly asymmetric trimming which contrasts with conventional indicators. We also find that this metric was indicating first upward pressures on inflation as early as mid-2020 and quickly captured the turning point in 2022. We also consider extensions, like assembling inflation from geographical regions, trimmed temporal aggregation, and building core measures specialized for either upside or downside inflation risks.
"Of course, work should pay, but after 14 years of Tory budgets, income inequality is higher than any other large European country.
Middle-income earners are now 20% poorer than their peers in Germany. Real wages are not forecast to recover to their 2008 level until 2028 meaning that UK workers are now on course to have endured twenty years of declining living standards"
Mhairi Black: Jeremy Hunt’s Budget shows the rich getting richer | The National
Seriously though, if you'd like to read about a pretty amazing woman who I've had the honour of getting to know better since joining the Board of the local women's shelter society: Ellen Frood is it.
“Her mother was a pioneer broadcaster with CBC in Ontario and Quebec and one of the first appointees in the late 1960s to the National Advisory Council on the Status of Women.
“A beautiful role model for me to follow,” says Frood, who 40 years later was invited to Ottawa…
Not only this, but making a will is *doubly* important in #California, where the state has a Byzantine probate system that essentially owns all your property until it can adjudicate who gets what—and that may take years, and cost your successors money and time.
If you live in California, I urge you to spend some money to consult with an estate lawyer to make sure you don’t burden your survi…
Yes, but it’s because audio mixes have become completely unintelligible over the last 20 years especially for dialog; it’s not “TV audio” that’s the problem.
https://social.bbc/@BBCRD/112060450573772958
This is pretty rad.
PalmOS has a definite nostalgia for me. In the latter years (Trio/Cento era), it was extremely usable. Not sure I could daily drive it in 2024, but there were some fine application for the PalmOS.
Although if I dream a little bit: a similar project that does the WebOS experience faithful and I can run it atop PostmarkedOS. I *would* daily drive that today.
"No one believes anymore that scientists are trained in science classes, politicians in civics classes, or poets in English classes. The truth is that schools don’t really teach you anything except how to obey orders.” Language Arts Teacher Considers Quit https://flip.it/Q2UIec
At 35% we still have a long way to go on women’s representation https://www.electoral-reform.org.uk/at-35-we-still-have-a-long-way-to-go-on-womens-representation/ n
“Demise of Mothers” – Maternal Mental Conditions Drive Climbing Death Rate in U.S.
https://scitechdaily.com/demise-of-mothers-maternal-mental-conditions-drive-climbing-death-rate-in-u-s/
“Trust in AI technology and the companies that develop it is dropping, in both the U.S. and around the world, according to new data from Edelman [...] Globally, trust in AI companies has dropped to 53%, down from 61% five years ago. In the U.S., trust has dropped 15 percentage points (from 50% to 35%) over the same period.”
https:…
Mention of drugs
It's a huge decision. I take pride from the fact that i was able to quit all those years back. But if nothing else helps, what else can i do. It's not like i don't know, how well it would help me.
I wonder, with Russian influence being so great in Austria, what about this scenario: Russia offers Austria to keep troops in bases in Austria, to protect its “neutrality”. And a right-wing led government, in power thanks to Russia-induced refugee crisis, agrees. Slovakia provides airspace and land transport corridors. Could that happen within, say, five years? (And sure, until 2022 one might well have asked the same about Finland. But I am relatively sure it wouldn’t have been possible ther…
Mr Peanut informs the #Israel girl lived in moZcow for 12 years... even worse 🤦♂️ #Eurovision
🔌 Photoncycle targets low-cost energy storage with a clever hydrogen solution
https://techcrunch.com/2024/04/02/photoncycle-solar-energy-storage-solid-hydrogen/
Ask a person what they support and they'll exactly describe communism while telling you how much they hate tankies. That's the result of 100 years of anti-communist propaganda.
It just hit me: my son (eldest) is no longer a teen. He's 20!!! I can remember the night he was born like it was... 20 years ago 😂
Seriously, I'm a little teary eyed.
Absolutely baffled by some code I wrote a few years back and wondering if it's time for a page 1 rewrite?
TIL there is a real organization called the Allen Institute. That was founded by a philanthropist, and does work on biomedical research, making it not entirely unlike its namesake in that anime. (And has been around for more than 20 years, long before that anime.)
Burning Gotham 🗽👷♂️🧐
Dramatized historical fiction | It’s ten years since the completion of the Erie Canal. New York City’s population is now over 270,000. The gap between rich and poor rapidly expandsg as more pour onto New York’s dangerously overcrowded streets. Historical lives converge in this series about the fa...
https://www.
"We call for an urgent, robust, and independent review of the links between the pharmaceutical industry and the NHS. We call for a system that does what was demanded by the health committee two decades ago , , ,"
Terrific piece by #MargeretMcCartney et al
“This Story is Under Embargo Until 20.03.2024”
I did this for *years*. If you tried to put me under an embargo I DIDN’T AGREE TO, I was breaking your “embargo” *immediately*. https://infosec.exchange/@dangoodin/112061080194633415
Meanwhile in Ireland, you can get your first dose of the Covid vaccine at age 12 and, in just 68 years, you can get your first booster.
Because that’s cool and normal.
https://www.boots.ie/vaccinations/covid-vaccination
Fun thread, especially for you comics and US politics fans
https://twit.social/@glennf/112061834706140232
It's literally been 30 years since my last math course. My precalculus course is killing me.
At this time in 2019 Google reported seeing 20%-25% of its users via native #IPv6. Today that statistic is approaching 45%. That is a pretty significant increase in just five years.
https://www.google.com/intl/en/ipv6/statistics.html
An der Küste von Casablanca-Mohammedia in #Marokko häufen sich #Überschwemmungen, die durch steigenden #Meeresspiegel und
Someone on my local newsfeed compared losing their job to a nuclear strike to the community. I posted the YouTube clip of Sarah Connor's dream in #Terminator2's nuke strike and asked for having some perspective...Losing your job is something you can come back from, a nuclear strike... not so much. Disclaimer: I got fired from a job I had for 29 years... this is not world ending,…
Wow, just on RNZ now ConsumerNZ are (finally!) saying that using POLi for payments in NZ is putting people at risk, breaching bank terms and voiding protections. Holy cow. No duh!
I tried to take this issue to my bank (Kiwibank), who sent me to the banking ombudsman and from there to ConsumerNZ a few years ago. Nobody wanted to know. They all threw up their hands... and now suddenly they're making a fuss about it. Wonder what's suddenly changed?
Link:
This https://arxiv.org/abs/2311.12205 has been replaced.
initial toot: https://mastoxiv.page/@arXiv_csCR_…
"We keep doing it because we have to do it, so [the powerful] cannot say that they didn’t know. We know what we’re talking about. They can say they don’t care, but they can’t say they didn’t know.”
#climateCrisis #AGW
Physics-based deep learning reveals rising heating demand heightens air pollution in Norwegian cities
Cong Cao, Ramit Debnath, R. Michael Alvarez
https://arxiv.org/abs/2405.04716 …
“The good news is that people still read lots of books and that anybody who has the content and wants to deliver it into the marketplace as a book can do so at a highly manageable cost. The bad news is that new careers delivering the creative works in a structured and predictable ecosystem that values experience and a network of professional contacts are vanishing before they begin.” #publishing
In five years' time, asteroid #Apophis will fly very close to Earth, a unique opportunity to study it - concepts for a national German small satellite mission are now being examined at the University of Würzburg: https://www.uni-wuerzburg.de/en/news-and-events/news/detail/news/nealight-concepts/
Maximally Forward-Looking Core Inflation
Philippe Goulet Coulombe, Karin Klieber, Christophe Barrette, Maximilian Goebel
https://arxiv.org/abs/2404.05209 https://arxiv.org/pdf/2404.05209
arXiv:2404.05209v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Timely monetary policy decision-making requires timely core inflation measures. We create a new core inflation series that is explicitly designed to succeed at that goal. Precisely, we introduce the Assemblage Regression, a generalized nonnegative ridge regression problem that optimizes the price index's subcomponent weights such that the aggregate is maximally predictive of future headline inflation. Ordering subcomponents according to their rank in each period switches the algorithm to be learning supervised trimmed inflation - or, put differently, the maximally forward-looking summary statistic of the realized price changes distribution. In an extensive out-of-sample forecasting experiment for the US and the euro area, we find substantial improvements for signaling medium-term inflation developments in both the pre- and post-Covid years. Those coming from the supervised trimmed version are particularly striking, and are attributable to a highly asymmetric trimming which contrasts with conventional indicators. We also find that this metric was indicating first upward pressures on inflation as early as mid-2020 and quickly captured the turning point in 2022. We also consider extensions, like assembling inflation from geographical regions, trimmed temporal aggregation, and building core measures specialized for either upside or downside inflation risks.
For preparing a talk about HSTS I skimmed my old mid-term thesis about Cookie problems and SSL (2008), and given that I consider my serious "infosec career" only started many years later, I'm quite happy with the work I did back then https://blog.hboeck.de/uploads/ssl-cooki…
Many Americans who recently bought guns open to political violence, survey finds
Large numbers of Americans who have bought guns over the past four years or who regularly carry their loaded weapons in public are willing to engage in political violence, even to the extent of shooting a perceived opponent, a new mega-survey has found.
The study of almost 13,000 Americans, drawn from across the US and weighted for demographics, provides alarming evidence of the openness of certain ty…
'Remarkable' Study Tracks Timeline of Biomarker Changes 20 Years Before AD https://www.medscape.com/viewarticle/remarkable-study-tracks-timeline-biomarker-changes-20-years-2024a100041w
Explains a lot about why the NY Times has been such a mess on political reporting in recent years: https://presswatchers.org/2024/03/why-is-new-york-times-campaign-coverage-so-bad-because-thats-what-the-publisher-w…
Despite SQL injection being known for 20 years, it remains in OWASP's Top 10 due to developers' lack of experience in writing secure code. Experience in development doesn't equate to secure coding expertise. https://reddit.com/r/cybersecurity/comments/1baonq4/
I don’t mean to minimize the potential risk of #H5N1, and I hope it doesn’t become a serious problem. But it bugs me that some of the same people who spent the last 4 years saying #COVID (which has killed millions with no end in sight) is “just a flu” now see H5N1 (which infected one person) and are all …
A shift from agricultural employment to manufacturing accelerated a century before the steam engine & the boom in coal usage: intriguing findings from 20 years of archival research in England & Wales.
If it wasn't the energy... new techniques, in process or organisation? (eg printing?) Hard-working immigrants? Ideas thus spread? Any ideas here re the past, or for our future?
I don't agree here.
Sometimes I use the iPad to read on the couch or draw something; both would not work if a MacBook with touch display. And please no convertible. I had once one: too heavy and cumbersome.
From: @…
https:/…
Global sea level rise is now happening at double the speed of 20 years ago.
#ClimatechangeisWaterchange #ClimateChange #sealevelrise
Via @…
Coinbase stock crosses the exchange's 2021 direct listing price of $250 after growing over 300% in the last 12 months, as bitcoin hovers around record highs (Carmen Reinicke/Bloomberg)
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/20
"Hundreds of millions of people have used generative #AI in the last two years. It promises immense benefits, but also serious risks related to bias, alleged copyright infringement, and non-consensual intimate imagery. AI companies, academic researchers, and civil society agree that #generativeAI syste…
Microlensing optical depth and event rate toward the Large Magellanic Cloud based on 20 years of OGLE observations
P. Mroz, A. Udalski, M. K. Szymanski, M. Kapusta, I. Soszynski, L. Wyrzykowski, P. Pietrukowicz, S. Kozlowski, R. Poleski, J. Skowron, D. Skowron, K. Ulaczyk, M. Gromadzki, K. Rybicki, P. Iwanek, M. Wrona, M. Ratajczak
https://arxiv.org/abs/2403.02398 https://arxiv.org/pdf/2403.02398
arXiv:2403.02398v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Measurements of the microlensing optical depth and event rate toward the Large Magellanic Cloud (LMC) can be used to probe the distribution and mass function of compact objects in the direction toward that galaxy - in the Milky Way disk, Milky Way dark matter halo, and the LMC itself. The previous measurements, based on small statistical samples of events, found that the optical depth is an order of magnitude smaller than that expected from the entire dark matter halo in the form of compact objects. However, these previous studies were not sensitive to long-duration events with Einstein timescales longer than 2.5-3 years, which are expected from massive ($10-100\,M_{\odot}$) and intermediate-mass ($10^2-10^5\,M_{\odot}$) black holes. Such events would have been missed by the previous studies and would not have been taken into account in calculations of the optical depth. Here, we present the analysis of nearly 20-year-long photometric monitoring of 78.7 million stars in the LMC by the Optical Gravitational Lensing Experiment (OGLE) from 2001 through 2020. We describe the observing setup, the construction of the 20-year OGLE dataset, the methods used for searching for microlensing events in the light curve data, and the calculation of the event detection efficiency. In total, we find 16 microlensing events (thirteen using an automated pipeline and three with manual searches), all of which have timescales shorter than 1 yr. We use a sample of thirteen events to measure the microlensing optical depth toward the LMC $\tau=(0.121 \pm 0.037)\times 10^{-7}$ and the event rate $\Gamma=(0.74 \pm 0.25)\times 10^{-7}\,\mathrm{yr}^{-1}\,\mathrm{star}^{-1}$. These numbers are consistent with lensing by stars in the Milky Way disk and the LMC itself, and demonstrate that massive and intermediate-mass black holes cannot comprise a significant fraction of dark matter.
"He is mandated to compile and share the achievements of the Islamic Revolution in culture, science, and art on his internet platform. Furthermore, he is required to prepare a summary of two books regarding women’s status in Islam, produce a song addressing “USA’s atrocities against humanity,” collect cases of human rights violations by U.S. governments over the past century, and participate in behavior and knowledge skills training courses in the field of art."
TIL there is a real organization called the Allen Institute. That was founded by a philanthropist, and does work on biomedical research, making it not entirely unlike its namesake in that anime. (And has been around for more than 20 years, long before that anime.)
Fallout 2
Fallout® 2 is the sequel to the critically acclaimed game that took RPG'ing out of the dungeons and into a dynamic, apocalyptic retro-future. It's been 80 long years since your ancestors trod across the wastelands.
https://<…
“Apple Finally Made An Ad That People Hated”
$20 says the reporter of this story is under 30 years old.
Because he obviously doesn’t remember the “Lemmings” commercial. 🤣
The mistery of 'Jia Tan', the mastermind behind the XZ-Utils backdoor supply-chain hack [WIRED News, April 2024]
https://www.wired.com/story/jia-tan-xz-backdoor/?ref=platformer.news
32 years ago today on May 5 1992, one of the greatest games of all time (and forever my favorite first person shooter), Wolfenstein 3D, was released. I wrote about it for the list of 20 video games I can't stop thinking about (https://spacetimetech.wordpress.com/20<…
Fulmar's Folly 😱😢💀
Dramatized scifi series | Two years after civilisation has collapsed from a zombie-like pandemic, the Cooper family aboard the Fulmar's Folly fights extreme pressures to survive against hostile survivors, the infected, and the sea itself.
1 seasons, 9 episodes as of Mar 12, 2022.
https://www.
The state of Ukrainian Army in 2014: https://benborges.xyz/2024/03/07/the-state-of.html
Protip: if you get tired of shooting Nazis you can play Indiana Jones and the Fate of Atlantis from the same year and punch Nazis instead
https://c.im/@jake4480/112390375442771624
Wow, just on RNZ now ConsumerNZ are (finally!) saying that using POLi for payments in NZ is putting people at risk, breaching bank terms and voiding protections. Holy cow. No duh!
I tried to take this issue to my bank (Kiwibank), who sent me to the banking ombudsman and from there to ConsumerNZ a few years ago. Nobody wanted to know. They all threw up their hands... and now suddenly they're making a fuss about it. Wonder what's suddenly changed?
Link:
Celebrating 15 Years of Surveillance Self-Defense from the Electronic Frontier Foundation: https://www.eff.org/deeplinks/2024/03/celebrating-15-years-surveillance-self-defense
Republican megadonor #Jeff #Yass and his inner circle have given tens of millions of dollars in recent years to shape federal policy, education and legal matters, according to records reviewed by CNBC.
The Yass-run foundations have been seeded with hundreds of millions from the billionaire, his wife and others linked to…
I picked up a vintage #polaroid 101 land camera. Haven’t made film for these types of cameras for several years now, but they have good optics and are mechanically simple. And they’ve got oodles of style.
Thanks to #Lomography sending me a dud, I have a spare
Microsoft closes the engineering section of its Africa Development Center in Nigeria, two years after its opening, reportedly impacting 100 engineers (Bloomberg)
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-05-08/micr…
I've spent some of today finding bottlenecks in my world-simulating cellular automaton, and I can now simulate 10,000 years of history from the middle of the Ice Age to the middle of the Iron Age over 40,000 square kilometres (at kilometre scale) in slightly under two minutes of wall-clock time. It's utterly caning my poor computer, but it doesn't crash.
#Clojure
An Argentine judge recognizes gender abuse suffered for years by 20 nuns in a breakthrough ruling
https://www.yahoo.com/news/argentine-judge-recognizes-gender-abuse-222511867.html
Fulmar's Folly 😱😢💀
Dramatized scifi series | Two years after civilisation has collapsed from a zombie-like pandemic, the Cooper family aboard the Fulmar's Folly fights extreme pressures to survive against hostile survivors, the infected, and the sea itself.
1 seasons, 9 episodes as of Mar 12, 2022.
https://www.
President Biden delivered an energetic and impassioned speech that was as much a campaign kickoff as it was a State of the Union, leveraging what is expected to be one of his largest audiences of the year to make a forceful case that he was fit enough for another four years.
https://www.
Birds of Empire 🦅🐻🐺🐏
Dramatized post-apocalyptic fantasy series | New Dakota: 15,000 CE, thousands of years after the fall of civilization. Having barely survived, humanity has returned to a way of life more closely resembling civilizations of the ancient past: The Bears, The Rams, The Birds, and The Wolves.
A drama...
https://www…
Remembering My Friend and Agent, Richard Parks ‹ Literary Hub
https://lithub.com/remembering-my-friend-and-agent-richard-parks/
Unveiling Latent Topics in Robotic Process Automation -- an Approach based on Latent Dirichlet Allocation Smart Review
Petr Prucha, Peter Madzik, Lukas Falat, Hajo A. Reijers
https://arxiv.org/abs/2404.05836
Gazprom falls to first annual loss in 20 years as trade with Europe hit | Business and Economy News | Al Jazeera
https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2024/5/2/gazprom-falls-to-first-annual-loss-in-2…
As Gmail turns 20 on April 1, a look at its impact on online communication and its future as other messaging apps have come to dominate how we communicate (Victoria Song/The Verge)
https://www.theverge.com/24113616/gmail-email-20-years-old-internet
This https://arxiv.org/abs/2403.16687 has been replaced.
initial toot: https://mastoxiv.page/@arXiv_csCY_…
20 Years of Gmail - Slashdot
https://tech.slashdot.org/story/24/03/29/2046236/20-years-of-gmail
An interview with LinkedIn EIC Dan Roth on investing in journalism and news, work with over 400 news publishers globally, launching a podcast network, and more (Sara Fischer/Axios)
https://www.axios.com/2024/03/05/linkedin-news-publisher-strategy
…
The physical and psychological effects of these different versions of Covid
– the short and the long
– are oddly parallel to its political consequences.
The disease turns out to be its own metaphor.
We are all suffering from political long Covid now.
The early drama is over.
A series of lingering misfortunes has replaced it.
As with long Covid, different countries are suffering in different ways, trapped in their own private miseries.
The shoc…
Asunder 👽🚀⚔️
Narrated scifi alt history series | Total listening time: 2h 50m
20 years after the American civil war, former slave Marcus Riggs is trapped in a British Harbor after the Invaders came to enslave all mankind. Now the invaders are gone, and new Orders clash as humanity rises from the ashes…but ar...
https://www.
Hi friend, it’s Jill Biden.
Joe is getting ready to deliver his State of the Union address tonight.
We’re proud of all that this team has accomplished, but we’ll be the first to tell you that our work isn’t finished.
We have an election to win, voters to reach, and MAGA extremists to defeat to protect our freedoms.
So before his address, please show your support for Joe, Kamala, and Democrats all across the nation by giving what you can now: